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The fish are doing just fine : Understanding how a headline upward blip in divorce conceals the long term downward trend

Imagine an enormous fish tank. In it are fish of all different sizes, all swimming around happily together. It’s easy to tell how long any particular fish has been in the tank because of its size. As fish mature, they get bigger. The bigger fish have been around for a long time. The smallest ones are the new arrivals. But they all swim in the same tank together. Now move your eyes upwards to the top of the tank where there is a giant tap, through which pours a steady stream of fresh youn

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