MF news – November – Divorce down to 1970 levels

Read Harry’s November newsletter here Divorce down to 1970 levels At last a genuine good news story. Using data we commissioned from the Office

Read Harry’s November newsletter here

Divorce down to 1970 levels

At last a genuine good news story.

Using data we commissioned from the Office for National statistics, our latest report tells you everything you ever wanted to know about divorce rates, a surprisingly complicated subject

  • In the first 5 years of marriage, actual divorce rates are down 48% from their peak in the 1980s and 1990s
  • In the first 10 years of marriage, actual divorce rates are down 24%
  • After ten years of marriage, divorce rates become highly predictable
  • We predict the lifetime divorce risk for couples marrying today is 35%, down from 44% among couples who married in 1986 (most of those have already happened of course)
  • Almost all of the change is due to fewer wife-granted divorces in the first decade of marriage
  • This is most likely because, with less social pressure to marry, those men who do marry today are more committed
  • So much for ‘toxic masculinity’. Within marriage, women and men are getting on better than for many years
  • We also explain how the apparent rise in divorce in 2021 is almost certainly a short-term ‘blip’ due to faster processing of a backlog

Thank you so much as ever to our supporters. If you can help us champion marriage, click here

Harry Benson
Research Director, Marriage Foundation

Sign up here if you’d like to receive our newsletters approximately once a month

Sign up for updates